The international research institute BMI Research is giving a glimpse of the Awami League in the upcoming national elections, they believe that the ruling party has a clear margin in the face of the main rival BNP.
According to the research report published by the organization on Friday, BNP chairperson Khaleda Gita was sentenced in the corruption case after going to jail and the strength of the party has reduced to a large extent and their leadership has also weakened. They will not be able to compete hard in front of this ‘weak leadership’.
The Awami League, which has been in power for 10 consecutive years since the landslide in the national elections on December 29, 2008, has been ruled out by the main rival BNP-Jamaat alliance in January 5, 2014.
BNP, however, claims that the government is no longer a popular and has survived on the administration.
However, in the two countries of the Awami League, the country There is a visible economic development and its achievement is much higher than any previous 10 years.
In this context, the size of the country's budget has increased seven times, per capita and has more than three times that of the total domestic production has increased more than four times, the economic growth rate has dropped from 28 percent to 28 percent, electricity consumers have dropped from 28 percent to 93 percent, the poverty rate has dropped from 31 percent to 22 percent. The country has also achieved the basic qualification for the inclusion of developed countries from the list of least developed countries, and the lower middle countries have become the lower middle countries.
The government has started working on several mega projects that are expected to further boost the economic growth once they are completed, and if power comes to power in the future, several more voluntary projects have been planned.
The government is claiming that due to this advanced activity, the government has also gained popularity and acceptance among the people.
According to BMI Research, the Awami League will also get the results of the benefits that the villagers have given for the socio-economic development of the villagers in the polling year.
In the current financial year 2018-19 budget, the government led by Awami League has received the allocation of subsidy, agriculture and rural development sector in the previous year's fluctuation of 27.9, 24.8 and 8.9 percent respectively. The research organization believes that it will play a role in the support of voters.
The research organization says that the support of Awami League candidates in Khulna and Gazipur City Corporation elections in May and June is a sign of a decrease in BNP's support.
Bangladesh's score in the organization's short political index is 58.1 out of 100.
BNP leadership is weakened
BMI Research does not think that BNP's political program Aomi League has any impact on the BNP party's political program after the sentence of BNP leader Begum Khaleda Gita.
The organization says that BNP acting chairman Tariq Rahman is abroad and in the country Many leaders have been arrested and there is a leadership crisis in BNP.
On the other hand, the situation of the Aomi League is the opposite of the situation, which is the way for Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina to lead the party since 1981. The organization sees her as a very strong leader.
Violence over the upcoming elections
Like the 10th parliamentary elections in 2014, BMI Research is not showing the fear of violence before the polls.
Four years ago in the country demanding an independent election government BNP has carried out various violent programs, their claim that the government is not paying attention to this time, while the leaders are talking about not going to the polls while keeping Khaleda Jita in jail.
In this situation, BMI research says, ‘As a result, there is a possibility of BNP's election boycott like in 2014. We cannot rule out the possibility of their violent movement before and after the elections."